Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 10.411022 11.933489 13.618416 15.624349 17.951249 20.570036 23.747145
2025-08-03 8.143482 10.051953 12.337361 15.286376 19.006309 23.562965 29.598460
2025-08-10 6.833883 8.893328 11.502983 15.072745 19.860367 26.103528 34.933558
2025-08-17 5.916174 8.034772 10.845250 14.877401 20.564920 28.376446 40.047926
2025-08-24 5.202117 7.327025 10.258609 14.640818 21.098365 30.378074 44.928476
2025-08-31 4.615649 6.712577 9.707359 14.350097 21.463581 32.109300 49.544713
2025-09-07 4.368131 6.549289 9.768906 14.937728 23.160707 35.960665 57.834246
2025-09-14 4.054920 6.248235 9.583317 15.109267 24.205614 38.882458 64.960720
2025-09-21 3.738266 5.905980 9.292896 15.070035 24.884328 41.255566 71.421852
2025-09-28 3.434659 5.552749 8.946249 14.892661 25.295471 43.197302 77.331511
2025-10-05 3.299487 5.459183 9.007956 15.398208 26.915725 47.375183 87.777409
2025-10-12 3.157169 5.338663 9.009654 15.792489 28.368375 51.394117 98.416043
2025-10-19 3.055530 5.281922 9.120085 16.400290 30.294319 56.535689 112.011567
2025-10-26 2.810076 4.950800 8.719102 16.031200 30.341561 58.112023 118.630594
2025-11-02 2.611250 4.685933 8.412658 15.805888 30.634743 60.185943 126.538437
2025-11-09 2.434801 4.446933 8.132141 15.600304 30.938655 62.301497 134.797883
2025-11-16 2.269476 4.214985 7.844648 15.351353 31.122906 64.178701 142.761715
2025-11-23 2.112376 3.986065 7.543701 15.045457 31.152458 65.721277 150.150639
2025-11-30 2.075153 3.986267 7.687303 15.663786 33.215430 71.911241 169.371558
2025-12-07 1.991554 3.887775 7.626128 15.844305 34.336061 76.117751 184.359867
2025-12-14 1.891204 3.747652 7.469055 15.803018 34.952107 79.229929 197.034820
2025-12-21 1.784304 3.586053 7.254921 15.616361 35.213414 81.532172 207.936729
2025-12-28 1.751850 3.576753 7.358572 16.148387 37.214172 88.252168 231.599980